USC
W-L: (43-22) PR = 97.4939Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H Pepperdine WC (21-33, 91.5) 3- 1 214 H Pepperdine WC (21-33, 91.5) 11- 0 215 H Pepperdine WC (21-33, 91.5) 8- 5 218 A San Diego State MW (15-16, 92.9) 14- 2 220 A Utah B12 (25-26, 94.8) 5- 4 221 H Rice AME (31-26, 94.3) 4- 1 222 H Rice AME (31-26, 94.3) 4- 2 226 A Cal Poly BW (39-25, 95.3) 4- 0 227 A Cal Poly BW (39-25, 95.3) 6- 0 228 A Cal Poly BW (39-25, 95.3) 16- 2 301 H Cal State Fullerton BW (21-34, 93.7) 8-16 303 A Fordham A10 ( 3- 4, 90.4) 6-11 306 A Pacific WC (23-30, 92.4) 4- 7 307 H Illinois B10 (27-27, 95.1) 4- 0 308 H Illinois B10 (27-27, 95.1) 5- 3 310 H Long Beach State BW (21-31, 92.9) 6- 1 311 H San Diego WC (20-30, 92.6) 7- 6 313 A Northwestern B10 (20-30, 92.5) 15- 1 314 A Northwestern B10 (20-30, 92.5) 2- 0 314 A Northwestern B10 (20-30, 92.5) 1- 2 317 H San Diego State MW (15-16, 92.9) 7- 4 318 A Queens University AS (15-39, 89.8) 4- 2 320 H Washington B10 (24-32, 93.9) 5- 0 322 H Washington B10 (24-32, 93.9) 14- 4 324 H Oregon State WC (42-16, 96.3) 4-12 327 A Maryland B10 (27-28, 94.8) 11-10 328 A Maryland B10 (27-28, 94.8) 4- 6 329 A Maryland B10 (27-28, 94.8) 14- 4 331 H UC Santa Barbara BW (40-22, 96.3) 7- 6 403 A UCLA B10 (48-12, 98.4) 4-12 404 A UCLA B10 (48-12, 98.4) 8- 9 405 A UCLA B10 (48-12, 98.4) 4-10 407 H Ole Miss SEC (38-25, 97.7) 1-11 411 H Iowa B10 (34-21, 95.8) 6- 3 412 H Iowa B10 (34-21, 95.8) 8- 2 414 A Long Beach State BW (21-31, 92.9) 3- 5 417 A Nebraska B10 (41-17, 97.0) 7- 8 418 A Nebraska B10 (41-17, 97.0) 2-12 419 A Nebraska B10 (41-17, 97.0) 6-16 421 A Cal State Fullerton BW (21-34, 93.7) 9- 2 424 H Purdue B10 (39-18, 96.3) 4- 3 425 H Purdue B10 (39-18, 96.3) 6- 1 426 H Purdue B10 (39-18, 96.3) 11- 4 428 A UC Irvine BW (25-26, 94.3) 1- 4 501 H Rutgers B10 (25-31, 93.9) 5- 1 502 H Rutgers B10 (25-31, 93.9) 11- 1 503 H Rutgers B10 (25-31, 93.9) 12- 2 505 H Cal State Fullerton BW (21-34, 93.7) 13- 4 507 H Nevada MW ( 6-13, 92.9) 8- 0 508 H Nevada MW ( 6-13, 92.9) 11- 3 509 H Nevada MW ( 6-13, 92.9) 12- 4 514 H Washington B10 (24-32, 93.9) 2- 8 515 H California ACC (29-24, 95.1) 3- 4 516 A Oregon B10 (44-17, 97.1) 5- 6 522 H Michigan State B10 (26-28, 95.0) 7- 0 523 A UCLA B10 (48-12, 98.4) 5- 7 529 H Texas State SB (36-27, 95.0) 4- 5 530 A Lamar SL (11-13, 93.3) 19- 6 530 A Lamar SL (11-13, 93.3) 19- 6 531 A Texas State SB (36-27, 95.0) 15- 4 531 H Texas A&M SEC (40-18, 99.0) 14- 3 601 A Texas A&M SEC (40-18, 99.0) 7- 1 605 A North Carolina ACC (54-14, 98.8) 9- 5 606 H North Carolina ACC (54-14, 98.8) 0- 4 607 A North Carolina ACC (54-14, 98.8) 3- 4
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 H Pepperdine 3- 1 2 7 -- -4.70
214 H Pepperdine 11- 0 11 7 ++ 4.30
215 H Pepperdine 8- 5 3 7 - -3.70
218 A San Diego State 14- 2 12 4 +++ 8.11
220 A Utah 5- 4 1 2 -1.01
221 H Rice 4- 1 3 4 -0.84
222 H Rice 4- 2 2 4 -1.84
226 A Cal Poly 4- 0 4 2 + 2.48
227 A Cal Poly 6- 0 6 2 ++ 4.48
228 A Cal Poly 16- 2 14 2 +++ 12.48
301 H Cal State Fullerton 8-16 -8 4 --- -12.46
303 A Fordham 6-11 -5 6 --- -11.39
306 A Pacific 4- 7 -3 4 --- -7.41
307 H Illinois 4- 0 4 3 0.98
308 H Illinois 5- 3 2 3 -1.02
310 H Long Beach State 6- 1 5 5 -0.29
311 H San Diego 7- 6 1 6 -- -4.57
313 A Northwestern 15- 1 14 4 +++ 9.70
314 A Northwestern 2- 0 2 4 - -2.30
314 A Northwestern 1- 2 -1 4 -- -5.30
317 H San Diego State 7- 4 3 5 - -2.24
318 A Queens University 4- 2 2 7 -- -5.04
320 H Washington 5- 0 5 4 0.71
322 H Washington 14- 4 10 4 ++ 5.71
324 H Oregon State 4-12 -8 2 --- -9.89
327 A Maryland 11-10 1 2 -1.03
328 A Maryland 4- 6 -2 2 -- -4.03
329 A Maryland 14- 4 10 2 +++ 7.97
331 H UC Santa Barbara 7- 6 1 2 -0.91
403 A UCLA 4-12 -8 -2 --- -6.40
404 A UCLA 8- 9 -1 -2 0.60
405 A UCLA 4-10 -6 -2 -- -4.40
407 H Ole Miss 1-11 -10 0 --- -10.50
411 H Iowa 6- 3 3 2 0.66
412 H Iowa 8- 2 6 2 + 3.66
414 A Long Beach State 3- 5 -2 4 -- -5.94
417 A Nebraska 7- 8 -1 0 -0.78
418 A Nebraska 2-12 -10 0 --- -9.78
419 A Nebraska 6-16 -10 0 --- -9.78
421 A Cal State Fullerton 9- 2 7 3 + 3.89
424 H Purdue 4- 3 1 2 -0.82
425 H Purdue 6- 1 5 2 + 3.18
426 H Purdue 11- 4 7 2 ++ 5.18
428 A UC Irvine 1- 4 -3 2 -- -5.49
501 H Rutgers 5- 1 4 4 -0.28
502 H Rutgers 11- 1 10 4 ++ 5.72
503 H Rutgers 12- 2 10 4 ++ 5.72
505 H Cal State Fullerton 13- 4 9 4 ++ 4.54
507 H Nevada 8- 0 8 5 + 2.71
508 H Nevada 11- 3 8 5 + 2.71
509 H Nevada 12- 4 8 5 + 2.71
514 H Washington 2- 8 -6 4 --- -10.29
515 H California 3- 4 -1 3 -- -4.03
516 A Oregon 5- 6 -1 0 -0.70
522 H Michigan State 7- 0 7 3 + 3.87
523 A UCLA 5- 7 -2 -2 -0.40
529 H Texas State 4- 5 -1 3 -- -4.15
530 A Lamar 19- 6 13 4 +++ 9.45
530 A Lamar 19- 6 13 4 +++ 9.45
531 A Texas State 15- 4 11 2 +++ 9.20
531 H Texas A&M 14- 3 11 -1 +++ 11.82
601 A Texas A&M 7- 1 6 -2 +++ 8.17
605 A North Carolina 9- 5 4 -2 ++ 5.98
606 H North Carolina 0- 4 -4 -1 - -3.37
607 A North Carolina 3- 4 -1 -2 0.98
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 301 H Cal State Fullerton 8-16 -8 4 --- -12.46 303 A Fordham 6-11 -5 6 --- -11.39 306 A Pacific 4- 7 -3 4 --- -7.41 324 H Oregon State 4-12 -8 2 --- -9.89 403 A UCLA 4-12 -8 -2 --- -6.40 407 H Ole Miss 1-11 -10 0 --- -10.50 418 A Nebraska 2-12 -10 0 --- -9.78 419 A Nebraska 6-16 -10 0 --- -9.78 514 H Washington 2- 8 -6 4 --- -10.29 213 H Pepperdine 3- 1 2 7 -- -4.70 311 H San Diego 7- 6 1 6 -- -4.57 314 A Northwestern 1- 2 -1 4 -- -5.30 318 A Queens University 4- 2 2 7 -- -5.04 328 A Maryland 4- 6 -2 2 -- -4.03 405 A UCLA 4-10 -6 -2 -- -4.40 414 A Long Beach State 3- 5 -2 4 -- -5.94 428 A UC Irvine 1- 4 -3 2 -- -5.49 515 H California 3- 4 -1 3 -- -4.03 529 H Texas State 4- 5 -1 3 -- -4.15 215 H Pepperdine 8- 5 3 7 - -3.70 314 A Northwestern 2- 0 2 4 - -2.30 317 H San Diego State 7- 4 3 5 - -2.24 606 H North Carolina 0- 4 -4 -1 - -3.37 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 218 A San Diego State 14- 2 12 4 +++ 8.11 228 A Cal Poly 16- 2 14 2 +++ 12.48 313 A Northwestern 15- 1 14 4 +++ 9.70 329 A Maryland 14- 4 10 2 +++ 7.97 530 A Lamar 19- 6 13 4 +++ 9.45 530 A Lamar 19- 6 13 4 +++ 9.45 531 A Texas State 15- 4 11 2 +++ 9.20 531 H Texas A&M 14- 3 11 -1 +++ 11.82 601 A Texas A&M 7- 1 6 -2 +++ 8.17 214 H Pepperdine 11- 0 11 7 ++ 4.30 227 A Cal Poly 6- 0 6 2 ++ 4.48 322 H Washington 14- 4 10 4 ++ 5.71 426 H Purdue 11- 4 7 2 ++ 5.18 502 H Rutgers 11- 1 10 4 ++ 5.72 503 H Rutgers 12- 2 10 4 ++ 5.72 505 H Cal State Fullerton 13- 4 9 4 ++ 4.54 605 A North Carolina 9- 5 4 -2 ++ 5.98 226 A Cal Poly 4- 0 4 2 + 2.48 412 H Iowa 8- 2 6 2 + 3.66 421 A Cal State Fullerton 9- 2 7 3 + 3.89 425 H Purdue 6- 1 5 2 + 3.18 507 H Nevada 8- 0 8 5 + 2.71 508 H Nevada 11- 3 8 5 + 2.71 509 H Nevada 12- 4 8 5 + 2.71 522 H Michigan State 7- 0 7 3 + 3.87 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Pepperdine (21-33, 91.5) 3- 1 -8.43 9.99 -0.68 0.44 8.29
3 H Pepperdine (21-33, 91.5) 11- 0 -8.43 9.99 -0.68 0.44 8.29
3 H Pepperdine (21-33, 91.5) 8- 5 -8.43 9.99 -0.68 0.44 8.29
3 A San Diego Stat (15-16, 92.9) 14- 2 -6.97 11.46 0.68 0.44 10.80
3 A Utah (25-26, 94.8) 5- 4 -5.09 13.33 0.68 0.44 12.47
3 H Rice (31-26, 94.3) 4- 1 -5.57 12.86 -0.68 0.44 10.84
3 H Rice (31-26, 94.3) 4- 2 -5.57 12.86 -0.68 0.44 10.84
3 A Cal Poly (39-25, 95.3) 4- 0 -4.60 13.83 0.68 0.44 12.91
3 A Cal Poly (39-25, 95.3) 6- 0 -4.60 13.83 0.68 0.44 12.91
3 A Cal Poly (39-25, 95.3) 16- 2 -4.60 13.83 0.68 0.44 12.91
3 H Cal State Full (21-34, 93.7) 8-16 -6.19 12.23 -0.68 0.44 -1.53
3 A Fordham ( 3- 4, 90.4) 6-11 -9.47 8.96 0.68 0.44 -1.96
3 A Pacific (23-30, 92.4) 4- 7 -7.50 10.93 0.68 0.44 -1.52
3 H Illinois (27-27, 95.1) 4- 0 -4.75 13.67 -0.68 0.44 11.57
3 H Illinois (27-27, 95.1) 5- 3 -4.75 13.67 -0.68 0.44 11.57
3 H Long Beach Sta (21-31, 92.9) 6- 1 -7.02 11.41 -0.68 0.44 9.55
3 H San Diego (20-30, 92.6) 7- 6 -7.30 11.12 -0.68 0.44 9.30
3 A Northwestern (20-30, 92.5) 15- 1 -7.38 11.04 0.68 0.44 10.43
3 A Northwestern (20-30, 92.5) 2- 0 -7.38 11.04 0.68 0.44 10.43
3 A Northwestern (20-30, 92.5) 1- 2 -7.38 11.04 0.68 0.44 -1.49
3 H San Diego Stat (15-16, 92.9) 7- 4 -6.97 11.46 -0.68 0.44 9.60
3 A Queens Univers (15-39, 89.8) 4- 2 -10.12 8.30 0.68 0.44 7.99
3 H Washington (24-32, 93.9) 5- 0 -6.03 12.40 -0.68 0.44 10.43
3 H Washington (24-32, 93.9) 14- 4 -6.03 12.40 -0.68 0.44 10.43
3 H Oregon State (42-16, 96.3) 4-12 -3.62 14.80 -0.68 0.44 -0.96
3 A Maryland (27-28, 94.8) 11-10 -5.11 13.31 0.68 0.44 12.45
3 A Maryland (27-28, 94.8) 4- 6 -5.11 13.31 0.68 0.44 -0.99
3 A Maryland (27-28, 94.8) 14- 4 -5.11 13.31 0.68 0.44 12.45
3 H UC Santa Barba (40-22, 96.3) 7- 6 -3.64 14.78 -0.68 0.44 12.56
3 A UCLA (48-12, 98.4) 4-12 -1.48 16.94 0.68 0.44 -0.18
3 A UCLA (48-12, 98.4) 8- 9 -1.48 16.94 0.68 0.44 -0.18
3 A UCLA (48-12, 98.4) 4-10 -1.48 16.94 0.68 0.44 -0.18
3 H Ole Miss (38-25, 97.7) 1-11 -2.23 16.20 -0.68 0.44 -0.65
3 H Iowa (34-21, 95.8) 6- 3 -4.07 14.36 -0.68 0.44 12.18
3 H Iowa (34-21, 95.8) 8- 2 -4.07 14.36 -0.68 0.44 12.18
3 A Long Beach Sta (21-31, 92.9) 3- 5 -7.02 11.41 0.68 0.44 -1.41
3 A Nebraska (41-17, 97.0) 7- 8 -2.86 15.57 0.68 0.44 -0.49
3 A Nebraska (41-17, 97.0) 2-12 -2.86 15.57 0.68 0.44 -0.49
3 A Nebraska (41-17, 97.0) 6-16 -2.86 15.57 0.68 0.44 -0.49
3 A Cal State Full (21-34, 93.7) 9- 2 -6.19 12.23 0.68 0.44 11.49
3 H Purdue (39-18, 96.3) 4- 3 -3.56 14.87 -0.68 0.44 12.63
3 H Purdue (39-18, 96.3) 6- 1 -3.56 14.87 -0.68 0.44 12.63
3 H Purdue (39-18, 96.3) 11- 4 -3.56 14.87 -0.68 0.44 12.63
3 A UC Irvine (25-26, 94.3) 1- 4 -5.57 12.86 0.68 0.44 -1.09
3 H Rutgers (25-31, 93.9) 5- 1 -6.01 12.42 -0.68 0.44 10.45
3 H Rutgers (25-31, 93.9) 11- 1 -6.01 12.42 -0.68 0.44 10.45
3 H Rutgers (25-31, 93.9) 12- 2 -6.01 12.42 -0.68 0.44 10.45
3 H Cal State Full (21-34, 93.7) 13- 4 -6.19 12.23 -0.68 0.44 10.29
3 H Nevada ( 6-13, 92.9) 8- 0 -7.03 11.40 -0.68 0.44 9.54
3 H Nevada ( 6-13, 92.9) 11- 3 -7.03 11.40 -0.68 0.44 9.54
3 H Nevada ( 6-13, 92.9) 12- 4 -7.03 11.40 -0.68 0.44 9.54
3 H Washington (24-32, 93.9) 2- 8 -6.03 12.40 -0.68 0.44 -1.49
3 H California (29-24, 95.1) 3- 4 -4.77 13.66 -0.68 0.44 -1.21
3 A Oregon (44-17, 97.1) 5- 6 -2.78 15.65 0.68 0.44 -0.47
3 H Michigan State (26-28, 95.0) 7- 0 -4.86 13.57 -0.68 0.44 11.47
3 A UCLA (48-12, 98.4) 5- 7 -1.48 16.94 0.68 0.44 -0.18
3 H Texas State (36-27, 95.0) 4- 5 -4.88 13.54 -0.68 0.44 -1.24
3 A Lamar (11-13, 93.3) 19- 6 -6.64 11.79 0.68 0.44 11.09
3 A Lamar (11-13, 93.3) 19- 6 -6.64 11.79 0.68 0.44 11.09
3 A Texas State (36-27, 95.0) 15- 4 -4.88 13.54 0.68 0.44 12.65
3 H Texas A&M (40-18, 99.0) 14- 3 -0.91 17.52 -0.68 0.44 14.99
3 A Texas A&M (40-18, 99.0) 7- 1 -0.91 17.52 0.68 0.44 16.19
3 A North Carolina (54-14, 98.8) 9- 5 -1.10 17.32 0.68 0.44 16.02
3 H North Carolina (54-14, 98.8) 0- 4 -1.10 17.32 -0.68 0.44 -0.40
3 A North Carolina (54-14, 98.8) 3- 4 -1.10 17.32 0.68 0.44 -0.09
------
466.14
|
winning pts = 484.7921 losing points = -18.6560
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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